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Re: AI and technology thread

Posted: Sun Jan 27, 2019 7:19 pm
by Clayton
physicsworld: Deep learning improves optical storage

This is an early indication of the kinds of "virtuous circle" improvements that we can expect to see more and more of in the next several years. A lot of our silicon-based technologies are reaching thresholds where the mainstream approaches to enhancement are beginning to face a law of diminishing returns. ANNs will allow us to "end run" around many of these thresholds. The gains may not be massive in every dimension of technology (maybe 10%, 20% improvements over state-of-the-art), but when you add up all the improvements that are going to be made in all sectors, we are talking about an avalanche of technological advancements that will, in turn, improve the very ANNs we used to make these improvements in the first place. Stay tuned...

Re: AI and technology thread

Posted: Sat Feb 02, 2019 3:03 am
by Clayton

Re: AI and technology thread

Posted: Sat Feb 02, 2019 11:27 pm
by Clayton


LOVING exurb1a ... how did I not discover this channel earlier??!?

Re: AI and technology thread

Posted: Fri Feb 08, 2019 1:33 am
by Clayton

Re: AI and technology thread

Posted: Sat Feb 09, 2019 6:13 am
by Clayton
exurb1a again:



... this video is about the width of a gnat's eyebrow from my own cosmological view, not only of our future but also our origins. While it can be interesting to prognosticate about the worst-case scenarios, I think we really have no option but to hold to a basically optimistic stance towards the future. The coming changes can only be described as a tidal wave that is going to sweep away everything that led up to this generation, not out of any destructive impulse or malicious energy, but out of the sheer immensity of the changes. It's like those time-lapse videos of the changing of seasons from winter to spring... an entire landscape transformed by a burst of energy released by vibrant, new life. There can be no doubt that we have been in an extended dark age -- the winter of humanity -- and I can see no obstacle to a future where the violence and terror of the past have been put to rest forever.

exurb1a doesn't have a crystal ball. Neither do I. But I believe that "imagineering" plays an important role in bringing about a positive future. Let's say you were going to build a house. Wouldn't you think about how it should look? What color it should be painted? How many floors it should have? What sort of floorplan you would like? Wouldn't you think about your future children, your future house parties, your future DIY projects, etc? If you were going to build a house and you just walked into the general contractors' office and said, "Here's $350,000... surprise me", she would be right to conclude that you must not spend very much time imagining how you would like your future to be. This is not recycled new ageism with its "positive thinking" con-game -- this is just plain common sense. The world is at a tipping-point of unprecedented change with unforeseeable consequences. This is happening whether we like it or not. It only makes sense to plan for the future we would like to have -- and hope that the tail risk of highly negative outcomes remains just that... a tail risk.